2 NFL Free Picks, Critical Betting and Fantasy Football Info

Seriously, there is remotely logical reason to be betting without Joe Duffy. If this is your first year with JDP, I am certain it is your greatest football betting season ever. If you have been with us since the scorephone days, it is among the top 10 or so. That is just how good I am. In football, 119-79 including 4-2 yesterday. NBA we are 12-6 the last 18.

Sunday get two Wise Guys led by Moneyline Game of the Year, an underdog that wins outright among five NFL winning picks. NFL Game of the Week is also up. Two college basketball winners added as we have some winners sneaking under the radar there too. NBA Wise Guy added. Final report is up! Get the picks now

Texans vs. Rams

  • Rams best against the spread margin in NFL at +11.8 at 5-3
  • Texans without franchise QB Deshaun Watson
  • Texas top over team at +11.6 going over 5-3
  • Rams over 6-2 for second best over margin at +7.7
  • When the two teams combined season-to-date average goes over by at least 18 points per game, it goes under 98-75 if the total is greater than 40
  • Of course Houston already without best defensive player J.J. Watt

Free: Houston-Rams UNDER 46

Saints vs. Bills

  • Buffalo 14-0 against the spread at home off game as favorites in which they allowed opponent to exceed season-to-date points on offense by double-digits   

Chargers vs. Jacksonville

  • Jags second best against the spread margin at +11.5 at 5-3
  • Chargers top under team in terms of margin, going under by -8.1 points per game under 5-3
  • Marqise Lee WR is questionable for Jags

Cowboys vs. Falcons

  • Dallas without star RB Ezekiel Elliot
  • Dallas 13-0 against the spread underdogs off a game with more third-down conversions than punts
  • WR Dez Bryant questionable for Dallas
  • Falcons star WR Julio Jones will play despite being limited in practice

Steelers vs. Colts

  • Steelers highest percentage under at under 7-1, though -6.1 is fourth in league
  • Colts WR T.Y. Hilton questionable as he was limited in practice Thursday and Friday

Jets vs. Tampa

  • Tampa worst spread record at 1-6-1 by -5 points per game
  • Bucs WR Mike Evans is out
  • Jets without RB Matt Forte

Vikings vs Redskins

  • Road favorites off bye 58-26 (Vikings)
  • But hd off wad are 148-111-9 for 57.1 percent (redskins)
  • Favorites or pick off bye in at least 4-game winning streak 40-30
  • Vikes defense holding teams to .5 yards per rush and .6 yards per pass below their normal average
  • Vikings QB teddy Bridgewater is ready to play
  • Keenum: 610 yards and seven touchdowns with three interceptions in seven appearances
  • Washington ol expected to be much more healthy than last week in upset of Seattle
  • Te Jordan reed and wr Jamison Crowder both questionable for redskins
    • Reed 27 catches in six games
    • Crowder 28 in seven games

Packers vs. Bears

  • Green Bay three straight losses by at least nine
  • Going against favorites that have been prohibitive underdogs almost all season is 135-89-12 (with green bay)
  • Going against road teams off three straight losses of at least nine points is 67-46 (favors Chicago)
  • Packers 27 points last three games
  • Bears just 16.7 points per game teams normally allowing 19.9 and 4.9 yards per play teams normally allowing 5.4
  • Just one td last 26 offensive possessions
  • Biggest home game in john fox era?
  • Teams using nine man fronts against Chicago
  • Mitch Trubisky completing 47.5 percent of passes
  • Brett Hundley 2 career td passes, 8 interceptions
  • Since 2014, totals of 39 or less have gone under 20-7
  • Home favorites off a bye when opponent off a short week are a go-against of 15-6 including 13-4 this century (packers)
  • Teams in big losing streaks but scored at least 14 points in the fourth quarter of last game are 78-48 (green bay)
  • Teams with much worse turnover rate for season are 565-430 for 56.8 percent (Chicago)

Jets vs. Buccaneers

  • Ryan Fitzpatrick starts at QB for Jameis Winston

Browns-Lions

  • Browns 2-6 against the spread all including 0-4 road where outscored by 13.5 points per game
  • Detroit could use statement win after snapping a three-game losing streak
  • Cleveland most vulnerable to pass allowing 7.1 yards per pass to teams that permit an average of 6.5
  • Rested winless teams are 21-4 (Cleveland)
  • Many systems that say to go with bad teams off bye and winless underdogs but outlier is teams that have lost at least 21-of-22 over multiple seasons
    • Going against such teams in all circumstances is 21-6

SNF

Patriots vs. Broncos

  • Denver second worst against the spread margin in league at -7

Top consensus: New England, Detroit, Rams

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