Texas State vs. Louisiana Lafayette, Eagles vs. Panthers: What Offshore Sportsbooks Don’t Want You To Know

Piping hot handicapper Joe Duffy OffshoreInsiders.com previews Texas State at Louisiana Lafayette and Philadelphia Eagles vs. Carolina Panthers. You get a free pick to boot. Duffy has a Wise Guy bet on TNF, the single strongest bet in handicapping. 

Texas State vs. Louisiana Lafayette (-14, 54.5)

  • Total opened at 60
  • ULL the No. 1 over team in nation in terms of margin going over by an average of 23.9 points per game at 4-1 over
  • First time in history of our database that a team went under the total of their last game by double-digits has still gone under by an average of at least 20 points per game
  • Andre Nunez, who came off the bench to spark ULL’s offense the last two games, is the new starting QB
    • 40-of-61 for 65.6 completion percentage with 3 TDs and interception
    • Will be first D1 start but he’s a Juco transfer
  • Texas State averaging just 14.5 points per game teams normally allowing 23.1 on 4.5 yards per play to teams that permit an average of 5.2
    • 5 points per game in two road games
  • Defensively they allow 33.7 points per game to 27.8 and 8.6 yards per play to 7
  • ULL also below average on offense getting 5.7 yards per play to squads generally permitting 6.3, while allowing 8.6 yards per play teams normally getting just 7.3
  • ULL averages 50.5 points per game at home
  • We look for ULL do get bump with new QB and return to high scoring 

 

Free pick: OVER 54.5

MYBookie | Intertops |Betonline | SportsBetting | Bovada

Eagles vs. Panthers (-3.5, 45.5)

  • Panthers allowed 3 points per game in first two but 29.333 last three games
  • Both teams 4-1 against the spread, but Eagles by 6.2 points per game, Panthers by just 1.1 against the spread margin
  • Appropriate as Panthers over 3-2 but cumulative -5.2 points per game under the total
  • Eagles QB Carson Wentz off best game of his career
  • Eagles DT Fletcher Cox is game-time decision
    • Already missed two games with calf injury
  • Eagles RB Wendell Smallwood is questionable
  • Eagles second in offensive snaps at 69 per game
  • Two best on fewest opponent plays per game at Carolina 57 and Philadelphia 57.8
  • Panthers fourth best yards per play on defense allowing just 4.8

 MYBookie | Intertops |Betonline | SportsBetting | Bovada

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