South Alabama vs. Troy Critical Betting Breakdown

Another year, another football fortunate made by Joe Duffy’s Picks, anchor of JDP is 72-40 since preseason in college and NFL. Wednesday CFB side, Thursday NFL Wise Guy, Friday CFB side, Saturday two Wise Guys led by Pac 12 Game of the Year and eight Majors. Get the picks now

 South Alabama vs. Troy

  • Under-the-radar rivalry, so-called “Battle of the Belt”
  • Dog 4-1 in the series
  • Troy off stunning win at LSU
  • Teams off win of eight-point or more dog and now laying -14.5 or more are 81-50 (Troy)
  • Cole Garvin starts at QB for South Alabama after missing two games and most of another start
    • 41-of-77 for 447 yards, two TDS, two INTs
  • Last year Troy broke Top 25, then had huge letdown on national TV losing to Arkansas State 35-3
  • Records below are against the spread unless OU noted
  • South Alabama 10-28 overall, 4-23 after allowing more than 450 total yards per game
  • Troy 14-5 after getting less than 170 yards passing previous game
  • Troy under 10-1 in conference but over 20-9 at home
  • Troy under all 5 by average of -12.4
  • South Alabama under 4-1 by -3.5
  • Regression to mean OU angle: teams under at least four straight and average OU margin for season at least -11 have gone OVER 47-37 (unless total is less than 44)

Free pick: OVER 48.5


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