Official Sports Betting Preview of Toledo vs. Northern Illinois

This week’s football schedule kicks off with Tuesday night action between Northern Illinois and Toledo. The game kicks off on ESPN2 at 8 ET. The offshore and Vegas point spread is Toledo (-7.5) and 60.5. The game opened at -8 and 60. Despite the public affection for big favorites, only 54 percent are taking Toledo with a substantial 75 percent on the over. toledo niu

Defensively the more stingy team based on yards per rush is Northern Illinois by a razor thin .1. The superior defense in terms of passing yards per completion is Toledo by .6. The yards per point statistic used by betting advice says the better-quality defense is Toledo by a whopping 7.4. The turnover department upper hand belongs to Toledo by one.

In comparing yards per rush on offense, the better numbers belong to Toledo by .5 yards per rushing attempt. As far as passing yards per completion on the offensive side of the ball, the upper hand is for the home squad as well by 1.2. According to yards per point, the more efficient offense is NIU getting .5. less.

Who to bet on is only one answer and that is Joe Duffy’s Picks. Another bookend leads us to another winning week in the NFL. The Colts make us 23-10 with all football picks.

Get a college football Wise Guy total from the Grandmaster on Toledo and Northern Illinois. We also have NBA and NHL majors making it three winning picks in three sports. It is never a good idea to assume you know what metrics apply (hint?). Get the picks now

Yards per point is determined by dividing total yards by number of points. Offensively a lower number is considered more efficient. On defense, a higher number is better.

Spread trends (all records against the spread): Northern Illinois is 22-10 after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game but 1-5 all Tuesday contests. Toledo has covered nine straight (excluding two pushes) and are 9-1 off win, 1-9 off bye. Toledo is 11-5 in the series and the underdog 9-4.

Over/under angles: Northern Illinois under 7-1 road, over 7-3 overall. Toledo under 7-0 home games vs. a team with a winning road record, under 12-4 to teams with a winning record, under 12-5 after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.


About the Author

Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy got his start in the sports handicapping industry with the Dial Sports (Communications Team) audiotext network. It was owned by sportswriter, broadcaster and handicapping pioneer Mickey Charles. Dial Sports was the sister company of the popular Sports Network Wire Service. Upon graduating California University of PA, where he was a play-by-play announcer on student radio station WVCS (now WCAL) and cable channel 29 (now CUTV), he became a full-time sports announcer and handicapper for the Sportsline scorephone network. He learned from NFL legends coach Hank Stram and broadcasting icon Ray Scott the ins and outs of the sports betting world. His Amazing Cadillac Club became the most successful 900-number in sports betting history. He left to become the first General Manager of the Freescoreboard scorephone network broadcast all over North America. His articles have appeared on several dozen websites and hard copy publications. He is now CEO of, the top sports betting site in the world. Email:

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