Expert sports picks against the spread previews Friday Night Lights between Utah State vs. San Diego State. Real-time odds point spread on this game from Vegas sportsbooks has Utah State -3.5 and 44.5. Both are down from the opener of -4 and 47. The public has 61 percent taking Utah State and 74 percent on the over.
Of the two teams, the top offense based on rushing yards per attempt is Utah State by .3. Insofar as passing yards per reception (different than passing yards per attempt), Vegas experts edge belongs to San Diego State by 3.4. Yards per point judges the better team on offense as Utah State by 2.2.
Billy Walter’s picks this week should be Joe Duffy’s Picks. Wise Guy winner is up in the NFL for Thursday. Two college football winners have been added: a Wise Guy total and a Major side. Yes this is all for Thursday. Three Thursday winners in NFL and CFB with the sharpest intel. Whales are either our clients or (sometimes both) using the same metrics as we do at OffshoreInsiders.com
Defense who is better at stopping the run? Founded on yards per pass attempt it is Utah State by .1. Based upon yards per reception, defensively better at stopping the passing game manifests to be Utah State by 1.0. Last and most definitely not least is yards per point gauging the superior defensive team as San Diego State by .2. Turnover statistical supremacy is Utah State by five.
Yards per point is determined by diving total yards by number of points. Offensively a lower number is considered more efficient. On defense, a higher number is better.
Spread trends (all records against the spread): Utah State is 8-1 on grass, 21-6 to teams with a winning record, 18-8 following a ATS win, 13-2 on Fridays. San Diego State 18-7 in conference play.
Over/under angles: Utah State under 12-5 after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. San Diego State under 26-7 games following a ATS win, under 20-8 overall.