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More times than not scheduling dynamics have the home team more rested. When the road team is actually more rested the home/road splits are not adjusted enough so we exploit this. Portland back-to-back and three games in four days. Since 1995 the home team is 36.7 percent in that span.
LaMarcus Aldridge is out 23.2 points per game and 10.2 rebounds. The Celtics are last in the league in defensive rating over their last five games with a 114.8 mark. The Trailblazers are 1-15 ATS (-7.09 ppg) since Mar 27, 2013 at home after a loss as a dog.
Brooklyn back-to-back and without PG Deron Williams 6.2 assists. The Nets are 1-12-1 ATS (-6.29 ppg) since Jan 11, 2014 after a win as a dog
Jazz back-to-back. Milwaukee third best MoC team in NBA 27-14 +3.6, big drop off to No. 4, Portland at 1.6.. Jazz 1-4 last five, all straight up losses by 11 or more and all by at least three against the spread. Jazz No. 5 under team by -2.3. Milwaukee No. 3 under team by 3.2 points per game.
Bulls top over team in NBA by 6.1 points per game. This includes 4-of-5, all by at least five, two by 21 or more. Joakim Noah doubtful for Bulls 9.4 rebounds per game and star defensive player.