Joe Duffy’s Picks AKA the NFL Specialist is 6-2 lately (3-0 Wise Guys) and unparalleled over the last 27 years in NFL betting. Already in with easy winner on Oakland Thursday night, get two splendid Wise Guys among nine, yes a season high of nine NFL winners. If you want to be on the outside looking in on the strongest NFL portfolio of the entire season, that is your choice. The pros are with us, you can subsidize us if you prefer.
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Today a free pick is on:
PHILADELPHIA -11 Tennessee
Based on years of experience, and significant trial and error, we have developed a performance gap analysis. It is based on the statistical hypothesis testing and concludes that yards per rush, yards per pass, and yards per play on offense and defense are most indicative of talent and less variable. They are lead indicators.
Yards per point and turnovers are more affected by random chance or luck and/or more correctable, hence more variable and tougher to maintain. They are lag indicators.
The former is more a precursor to future results than the latter and a dichotomy between the two subsets measures upside/downside.
This says that a team with a bad turnover rate and an inefficient defense is a very undervalued team to the tune of 1179-985-46. Philadelphia has returned to being fantastic at home. Eagles 5-0 home straight up 4-1 against the spread by 15.4 points per game. The Tits are not a tough foe.
Titans off tough MNF loss, taking defeat from the jaws of victory, so the short week will hurt this fragile team. Angry Eagles will take out frustrations of a humiliating loss to Green Bay. Eagles lead league in snaps, second in offensive ones, so they will have opportunities to pile the points up.
Titans inability to stop LeVeon Bell, who carried that ball 33 times for 204 yards, the most by a running back in the NFL this season. Again they must make adjustments in a short
Again, go with the Eagles. More free picks at www.joeduffy.net