Duke vs. North Carolina Sports Expert Picks

Again, the earlier you buy Joe Duffy’s Picks, the better for CLV (closing line value). We continue to move the line 1.5 points per game, but that is what happens when you have been winning for approaching 27 years. We go 2-0 led by Boston College outright. Tonight, get three college basketball winners led by a Wise Guy. Quite frankly, Joe Duffy’s Picks is only for those who believe winning is the only option. Sweep again tonight as despite some brutal losers, we are 13-7 the last 20 with premium picks. Get a long-term package to access immediately and be on the right side of CLV at OffshoreInsiders.com

Now for a free bonus winner it is to go with:

DUKE -1.5 North Carolina

One of the qualities that separates the sharps from the squares is that when analyzing how a team plays on the road, it’s travel even more so than raucous that negatively affects the road team.

Obviously travel is not an issue as the distance between the two schools is less than I often go for quality take-out pizza. The road team is 22-8 against the spread in the series, including the Blue Devils 6-1 at UNC. default

It’s not that home court is irrelevant it’s just that because of lack of travel, it is about a 1.5 less than normal home court edge and as we preach time and time again, handicapping is about exploiting an edge like that. What Joeybagofdonuts does not realize how big a 1.5 or two-point off line is.

The Blue Devils are 20-2 straight up against unranked opponents this season. Duke has won four of its past five road games. The only loss during that stretch came at No. 2 Syracuse, 91-89, in overtime.

Guess who is peaking at the perfect time? Duke has won nine of its past 10 games with the lone loss during that stretch coming at the hands of now-No. 1 Syracuse, 91-89, in overtime. Duke has beaten seven of those 10 opponents by 15 points or more.

Most importantly, they have covered 8-of-9. Five of those covers were by 11.5 or more indicating the oddsmakers have not caught up to how much the Devils have improved.

True, UNC is on a nice spread run, but since Dec. 5, they only have two double-digit covers, so they have benefitted from some close covers as during that span, they have had four Vegas setbacks of at least 12.5.

Look for the Blue Devils to win one on the road, Tobacco Road that is.

Joe Duffy’s free picks DUKE -1.5.



About the Author

Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy got his start in the sports handicapping industry with the Dial Sports (Communications Team) audiotext network. It was owned by sportswriter, broadcaster and handicapping pioneer Mickey Charles. Dial Sports was the sister company of the popular Sports Network Wire Service. Upon graduating California University of PA, where he was a play-by-play announcer on student radio station WVCS (now WCAL) and cable channel 29 (now CUTV), he became a full-time sports announcer and handicapper for the Sportsline scorephone network. He learned from NFL legends coach Hank Stram and broadcasting icon Ray Scott the ins and outs of the sports betting world. His Amazing Cadillac Club became the most successful 900-number in sports betting history. He left to become the first General Manager of the Freescoreboard scorephone network broadcast all over North America. His articles have appeared on several dozen websites and hard copy publications. He is now CEO of OffshoreInsiders.com, the top sports betting site in the world. Email: contact@joeduffy.net

Comments (0)

Trackback URL | Comments RSS Feed

Leave a Reply

If you want a picture to show with your comment, go get a Gravatar.

Customized Social Media Icons from Acurax Digital Marketing Agency
Visit Us On TwitterVisit Us On FacebookVisit Us On Google PlusVisit Us On PinterestVisit Us On YoutubeCheck Our Feed