First 4 NCAA Tournament 2013 Free Picks: Middle Tennessee State vs. St. Mary’s Odds

The 2013 NCAA men’s basketball tournament picks are here. While GodsTips does have a Big Dance premium pick among a big card, we also have a free pick from the NCAA Tournament and it is to go with Middle Tennessee State (+3) to St. Mary’s California.

A sharp whom with we trade intel with is a huge believer in exploiting betting on teams with significantly shorter travel in neutral games in both college football and basketball.

While at times we think he overplays that, keep in mind that this game is just more than 48 hours after the matchups were announced.

St Marys will travel 2032 miles to Dayton compared to 296 for MTSU. Yes, the Red Raiders would be a fade team according to our famed “Bubble Burst theory” as they had the nation’s longest winning streak snapped last time out. However, with eight full days in between games, they have had enough time to get over it and it does not cancel out everything else.

Blue Raiders coach Kermit Davis employs a 10-man rotation and this is so key with the short notice and shorter travel.

Following a win over Middle Tennessee State early in the season Florida guard Kenny Boynton described the Blue Raiders as one of the most physical defensive teams he’s ever faced. 

Gaels star Matthew Dellavedova has struggled against teams like this. To make matters worse, St. Mary’s depth is further depleted without Jorden Page, who averages 19.1 minutes per game. Attrition wins out as the underdogs sneak out the outright upset.

The pick: MTSU (+3)

Tonight’s premium picks: What a tear it is for GodsTips, but we measure success by the season, year, and decade. The Pacers were our only play last night, another easy winner. Get four college basketball winners, one from the Big Dance, three from other tournaments. An NBA winner is also up. Included are college and NBA Wise Guy plays.

There are specific reasons why one team is peaking now while another is on the downside. We have a famed competitor consensus and that scheduling dichotomy applies tonight as well. Get the picks now



About the Author

Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy got his start in the sports handicapping industry with the Dial Sports (Communications Team) audiotext network. It was owned by sportswriter, broadcaster and handicapping pioneer Mickey Charles. Dial Sports was the sister company of the popular Sports Network Wire Service. Upon graduating California University of PA, where he was a play-by-play announcer on student radio station WVCS (now WCAL) and cable channel 29 (now CUTV), he became a full-time sports announcer and handicapper for the Sportsline scorephone network. He learned from NFL legends coach Hank Stram and broadcasting icon Ray Scott the ins and outs of the sports betting world. His Amazing Cadillac Club became the most successful 900-number in sports betting history. He left to become the first General Manager of the Freescoreboard scorephone network broadcast all over North America. His articles have appeared on several dozen websites and hard copy publications. He is now CEO of, the top sports betting site in the world. Email:

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