What an incredible year for Joe Duffy’s GodsTips, going 41-21 with Wise Guy plays since returning to our roots. Tonight, Wise Guy plays in both the NBA and college basketball go. We also have a free pick on the Memphis Grizzlies (-7.5) to Dallas Mavericks.
As we alluded to on our “Back to Basics” article, podcast, and video, we have de-emphasized some key metrics, making them corroboration rather than a lead indicator for premium bets, but our “sharp versus square” angle still is very strong.
This is when our Vegas, offshore, and outlaw contacts tell us the majority of sharp money is betting one team, the square money the other. We go with the smart money as contrarian betting is used by many professional gamblers.
The Mavericks are an aging team playing three games in four nights including back to back. Again, one of our Golden Rules, rest benefits teams that need it the most. Hence lack thereof hurts those who need to make adjustments. The fact the Mavs are off consecutive home losses makes fading them a nice situation play in addition to sharp versus square.
Memphis has won seven in a row outright and 5-2 the last seven against the spread, plus they have a nice balance of rest, but yet not too much while in a groove (two days off) makes it even better.
They are gelling since getting Tayshaun Prince, Austin Daye and Ed Davis in a three-time trade. With another day off before playing Miami, they can go all out and continuing to develop that chemistry meaning they have legitimate motivation to run up the score a bit.
The pick: Memphis (-7.5)
Tonight’s premium picks: Yet another sweep last night as Joe Duffy goes 2-0 both Wise Guys on the Minnesota (CBB) and Air Force. That makes us 41-21 with Wise Guy plays. We are a perfect 6-0 with NBA Wise Guy plays since January 5. Another NBA Wise Guy goes tonight to join the one in college basketball.
In every sport we win by using the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Where is the glaring example tonight? Another time-tested winning theory that applies in all sports jumps out tonight. What is it? We are specific, but you and I won together with it for decades. A super duper solid NBA angle that has contributed greatly to our nearly two-month NBA Wise Guy winning streak applies yet again tonight. Get the picks now