Virginia Tech vs. Virginia MBB Free Sports Picks and Point Spread

Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy has a free pick to compliment Tuesday’s premium bets. The free winner is to take VIRGINIA TECH +14 Virginia.

Going with double-digit underdogs in revenge of a home loss is 779-580. While a myth in college football, the old adage of going with underdogs in big rivalries has proven to be a very good rule of thumb in college basketball.

In this series, the puppy has barked 8-of-9. With brutal road games at North Carolina and Miami on the horizon, one can easily understand how the Cavs would be ecstatic to escape with just a straight up win. 

One angle that certainly applies in both football and basketball is revenge applies when the big underdog is simply trying to stay competitive after being crushed in the last meeting. That more than applies here as Tech can rally around their big in-state rival, while the schedule maker has Virginia in a tight spot.  Again, see our above system for corroboration.

Virginia is very much a bubble team and fading teams under pressure becomes a stronger and stronger bet. If they performed well under pressure, they would not be a bubble team. Meanwhile, Tech has the ideal chance to play spoiler.

Virginia is playing a bit above their heads. Starting power forward Darion Atkins has played just 13 minutes over the last seven games because of shin splints and center Mike Tobey will be out indefinitely with mononucleosis.

Oh and Virginia fits perfectly into our “predictably unpredictable,” model as they have a 7-0 straight up record against the RPI top 100 and an 0-3 mark when the team faces Colonial Athletic Association competition.

We realize of course that Tech is not a CAC team, but the point is they have a letdown against inferior regional rivals, yet play the best against the best. Should I remind you one more time who Virginia plays over the next two games?

So UVA has played to the level of competition all season, are in a huge look ahead situation, have a patchwork line-up, and face a team that can rally around a spoiler role. We will happily take the points.

Tonight’s best bet: Okay, long-term clients (and we have a higher rate than anyone in the industry) will say we are giving too many hints. But tonight that team that has no home/road dichotomy—that is they play about equal at home and on the road—therefore have been a great road bet, but a nice fade at home. We continue to cash in with that.

Get at least the weekly pass as we can tell you Wednesday is a cash cow for many of our time-test models. Improve on that 9-5 run tonight with the strongest bet on the card. Get the picks now

 

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About the Author

Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy got his start in the sports handicapping industry with the Dial Sports (Communications Team) audiotext network. It was owned by sportswriter, broadcaster and handicapping pioneer Mickey Charles. Dial Sports was the sister company of the popular Sports Network Wire Service. Upon graduating California University of PA, where he was a play-by-play announcer on student radio station WVCS (now WCAL) and cable channel 29 (now CUTV), he became a full-time sports announcer and handicapper for the Sportsline scorephone network. He learned from NFL legends coach Hank Stram and broadcasting icon Ray Scott the ins and outs of the sports betting world. His Amazing Cadillac Club became the most successful 900-number in sports betting history. He left to become the first General Manager of the Freescoreboard scorephone network broadcast all over North America. His articles have appeared on several dozen websites and hard copy publications. He is now CEO of OffshoreInsiders.com, the top sports betting site in the world. Email: contact@joeduffy.net

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