Best and Worst College Basketball Teams off Win and Loss

Which college basketball teams are the best and worst against the spread off a straight up win and straight up loss? Two weeks ago, we gave the Margin of Cover (MOC) breakdown. Renamed “sweat barometer” in Chad Millman of ESPN’s column, MOC is similar to scoring margin, but it is measured by how much a team covers or fails to cover the point spread, many sports handicappers believe MOC is invaluable in isolating under and overvalued teams.

The teams are ranked using that same MOC statistic.

As of: games entering Feb. 11

Minimum number of lined applicable games: seven

Here are the top teams to bet on off a win according to their MOC

Team                          ATS Record                          Margin of Cover

Miami Fl                     14-3                                       +9.2

San Francisco             7-1                                         +8.1

Towson                       9-3                                         +7.3

Florida                        12-5                                        +6.0

Colorado St.                9-6                                         +5.7

Southern Miss           10-6                                        +5.5

Cal Northridge           10-3                                       +5.2

Western Mich            10-4                                        +5.0

These would be the best teams to best against off a straight up win according to MOC

Team                          ATS Record                          Margin of Cover

Marshall                     0-10                                        -10.8

Drexel                         1-8                                          -7.8

TCU                            0-7                                          -6.6

Cleveland St               3-7                                          -5.3

Oregon St                   2-8                                          -5.1

Here are the top teams to bet on following a straight up loss according to their MOC

Team                          ATS Record                          Margin of Cover

G Washington            8-0                                          +9.2

UL Lafayette              8-5                                           +6.2

South Dakota             8-6                                          +5.5

Toledo                        7-2                                           +5.3

CS Fullerton               6-4                                          +5.2

Nebraska                    8-3                                          +5.2

These would be the best teams to best against off a straight up loss according to MOC

Team                          ATS Record                          Margin of Cover

SE Missouri                2-7                                          -6.7

CS Northridge            2-7                                          -5.8

Alabama                     1-7                                           -5.6

Morehead St              4-6                                          -5.3

Southern Illinois        5-9                                          -5.0

Not surprisingly, a disproportionate number of teams are from smaller conferences as most pro gamblers believe the lower profile the team, the better the opportunity. There is no discernable pattern as to general rules of thumb to whether it is better to bet on or against a squad based on their previous game result. Get updates on sports betting podcast



About the Author

Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy got his start in the sports handicapping industry with the Dial Sports (Communications Team) audiotext network. It was owned by sportswriter, broadcaster and handicapping pioneer Mickey Charles. Dial Sports was the sister company of the popular Sports Network Wire Service. Upon graduating California University of PA, where he was a play-by-play announcer on student radio station WVCS (now WCAL) and cable channel 29 (now CUTV), he became a full-time sports announcer and handicapper for the Sportsline scorephone network. He learned from NFL legends coach Hank Stram and broadcasting icon Ray Scott the ins and outs of the sports betting world. His Amazing Cadillac Club became the most successful 900-number in sports betting history. He left to become the first General Manager of the Freescoreboard scorephone network broadcast all over North America. His articles have appeared on several dozen websites and hard copy publications. He is now CEO of, the top sports betting site in the world. Email:

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