College Basketbal Odds Free Picks: Loyola Marymount vs. Portland

The nation’s top college basketball handicapper, Joe Duffy of GodsTips has a free winner tonight to compliment the 3-0 premium picks tonight, led by the Sunbelt Interdivisional Game of the Year.

The free pick is on LOYOLA MARYMOUNT +2 Portland

Reasoning: Intensity or lack thereof shows up first and foremost on defense. A really sharp player with whom we trade information tells us that Portland has become extremely frustrated and it is showing up in lack of sustained effort on the defensive end.

Sure enough, our research confirmed this. Portland has allowed just six opponents to shoot better than 50 percent, but it has happened three times in the last four games. 

Defense has been the Pilots light, holding squads normally averaging a cumulative 44.6 percent, to just 42.6, two percentage points below their foes’ normal average. But that number is spiraling having allowed 46.7 to 53.2 percent in each of their last four games.

Portland was not much of an offensive team, but has really struggled since Sophomore PG David Carr went down with a torn ACL in the second half of the Jan. 5 loss at Pepperdine.

As happens so many times, the Pilots rallied around the adversity short-term and won the next game. They have lost all six since, but against the spread and straight up.

Admittedly we have made more of an argument as to why to bet against Portland than for Marymount, but Loyola has been competitive with two of their last three losses by three or less, the exception being to powerhouse Gonzaga.

In five of those games, they’ve fallen short spread wise by at least 6.5 points. While admittedly Loyola is not exactly on a straight up or against the spread positive run themselves, three of their last five setbacks against the spread have been by 2.5 or less. So the Margin of Cover, called “sweat barometer” by some indicates the oddsmakers are way behind how much Portland has dropped off.

Tonight’s premium picks: Get three college basketball winners as returning to our roots pays off again. Which team is still undervalued because of a brutal early season schedule and why will it specifically pay off now? What time-tested reason tells us a big underachieving team will put it together tonight? Which team continues to be devastated by injuries? Three winners led by the Sunbelt Interdivisional Game of the Year goes! Get the picks now

 

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About the Author

Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy got his start in the sports handicapping industry with the Dial Sports (Communications Team) audiotext network. It was owned by sportswriter, broadcaster and handicapping pioneer Mickey Charles. Dial Sports was the sister company of the popular Sports Network Wire Service. Upon graduating California University of PA, where he was a play-by-play announcer on student radio station WVCS (now WCAL) and cable channel 29 (now CUTV), he became a full-time sports announcer and handicapper for the Sportsline scorephone network. He learned from NFL legends coach Hank Stram and broadcasting icon Ray Scott the ins and outs of the sports betting world. His Amazing Cadillac Club became the most successful 900-number in sports betting history. He left to become the first General Manager of the Freescoreboard scorephone network broadcast all over North America. His articles have appeared on several dozen websites and hard copy publications. He is now CEO of OffshoreInsiders.com, the top sports betting site in the world. Email: contact@joeduffy.net

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