The sports betting podcasts are up for this weekend. Matt Rivers has a college football pick for Saturday on Auburn getting the big number. I know Auburn is horrific, I get it. Gene Chizik may be on the unemployment line soon as the Tigers are a complete and utter mess right now but it’s not like Texas A&M is suddenly a top notch team.
Yes the Aggies are talented with Johnny Manziel, Christine Michael, Mike Evans and Ryan Swope and I guess should continue the Tigers misery with a victory. But two touchdowns on the road in the SEC? Seems way too steep for me. These guys did just lose at home to a good but seemingly not over the top great LSU team after building an early lead and in the game before that allowed a whopping 57 points against against a good team in Louisiana Tech but let’s not get too crazy. And if you go back one game earlier A&M needed a furious late rally and some luck just to beat a very mediocre Ole Miss team.
The Auburn quarterback situation is not good and overall the team is not good. But this is still Auburn at home on the Plains with enough talent to stay in this thing. Yes the Tigers have fallen as their trees are dying but they have still been very competitive against quality foes week in and week out. Games against Clemson at the Georgia Dome, Vanderbilt on the road, Mississippi State on the road, LSU at home and a few others are not exactly chopped liver and even if those weren’t high quality Auburn performances there are enough athletes to cover this number.
Emory Blake, Onterrio McCalebb, CJ Uzomah and a few others will help the Tigers stay within this number.
Now to the wunderkinds at the Canadian Crew with a pick on Colorado Buffaloes (1-6, 1-6 ATS) vs Oregon Ducks (7-0, 3-4 ATs).
Odds: Oregon -46, 67 o/u
In the PAC-12, the Colorado Buffaloes and Oregon Ducks are about as far from each other in every statistical category as they could possibly be. But whether that means the Ducks will actually give 46 points is point worth discussing before the two teams meet up in Eugene today.
Oregon has established itself as rapid fire offensive juggernaut that overpowers opponents by scoring before they’ve even figured out what happened. So far this season they’re averaging 51 points per game, while only giving up around 21.
As impressive as that number is, it hardly does justice to some of the blowouts they’ve inflicted on a teams that are much better than Colorado. Just two weeks ago they knocked off the then-#23 Washington Huskies 52-21.
Colorado, on the other hand, is a sort of mirror image of Oregon’s quality and speed. With just one win under their belt this season they’re just 4-20 since the start of last season. Finding the problem with CU could be almost a full time job. While they occasionally show flashes of competence, but they’ve been totally overwhelmed by opponents of all shapes and sizes.
The best hope the Buffs have in this game is that, perhaps, the Ducks overlook them while preparing to face #9 USC next week. (Or the total collapse of society as we know it.) Lowly CU is managing to put up just 18 points per game while offering their opponents an average of 42.
In short, there’s almost nothing in the CU arsenal that’s going to give them an edge here, it’s all up to the Ducks to decide how much they’re going to win by. And given the value added by blowouts in the BCS formula, Oregon has every incentive to pile it on.
Normally we steer clear of insanely high lines like this, but a small play on the Ducks is an investment worth making.
The pick: Oregon
Is it the author of the top sports handicapping eBook who has the big bets this weekend? It’s tough to get bigger than red-hot Matt Rivers. There is no play more powerful and more potent than my 500,000* plays. The last one lost in miserable fashion a week ago. The only thing that did is make me even more focused and ready to destroy that Crookie as I usually do. 500,000* Lock of my Life involving Georgia and Florida which cannot lose, no how no way. I’m talking outright or burial with very little in-between. A pair of 300,000*, BYU-Georgia Tech and Tennessee-South Carolina along with a 200,000* Texas A&M-Auburn. 4-0? Heck yes! Get the picks now