Saints vs. Falcons Predictions MNF Expert Picks to Vegas Odds

This week’s football schedule includes a contest between the Atlanta Falcons vs. New Orleans Saints on ESPN Monday Night Football. Vegas oddsmakers have the point spread New Orleans (-7) and 52. takes a look at the football betting match-up using key numbers employed by professional gamblers.  In comparing yards per rush on offense, the better numbers belong to the Saints by .6. As far as passing yards per completion on the offensive side of the ball, the upper hand is for the Falcons by .4. According to yards per point, the more efficient offense is the Saints by 1.0.

Defensively the more stingy team based on yards per rush is Atlanta by a significant .9.  The superior defense in terms of passing yards per completion is the Falcons by .4.  The yards per point statistic used by the best sports handicappers says the superior defense is New Orleans forcing .4.

The turnover department upper hand belongs to Atlanta by eight. Who to bet on according to the football betting experts against the spread is the Canadian Crew. What a season in NFL and college football betting and Monday is huge. You were able to buy a dozen times your normal holiday presents courtesy of your bookmaker. The wunderkinds are 52-25 with all NFL picks. Not only do you get the Falcons vs. Saints lock, but also get the Bowl Best Bet of the Year on North Carolina vs. Missouri. Click now to purchase

Yards per point is determined by dividing total yards by number of points. Offensively a lower number is considered more efficient. On defense, a higher number is better. Ryan-Brees II: has the locks

Spread betting trends (all records are against the spread): The Falcons are 9-28 off a game in which they scored at least 28 points on artificial surfaces, 17-45 if they led by seven or more after three quarters on artificial surfaces. However all teams (in this case Atlanta) coming off games on artificial surfaces if they had zero turnovers are 60-31.

The Saints are 26-8 off a game in which they had four or more sacks and led after the first quarter, 4-14 off a game in which they had 20 or more first downs and three or fewer punts.

Over/under trends:  Atlanta has gone under 40-12 if they led after the first quarter and after three quarters in their previous game, over 9-0 off an AFC opponent in which they had three or more sacks, under 43-20 off a straight up in which they scored more points than the oddsmakers projected.

New Orleans has gone over 15-1 in which they scored seven or more points more than the oddsmakers expected and had 34 or more minutes time of possession.


About the Author

Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy got his start in the sports handicapping industry with the Dial Sports (Communications Team) audiotext network. It was owned by sportswriter, broadcaster and handicapping pioneer Mickey Charles. Dial Sports was the sister company of the popular Sports Network Wire Service. Upon graduating California University of PA, where he was a play-by-play announcer on student radio station WVCS (now WCAL) and cable channel 29 (now CUTV), he became a full-time sports announcer and handicapper for the Sportsline scorephone network. He learned from NFL legends coach Hank Stram and broadcasting icon Ray Scott the ins and outs of the sports betting world. His Amazing Cadillac Club became the most successful 900-number in sports betting history. He left to become the first General Manager of the Freescoreboard scorephone network broadcast all over North America. His articles have appeared on several dozen websites and hard copy publications. He is now CEO of, the top sports betting site in the world. Email:

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