Three PAC 12 Plays for Week 9

Three Week 9 PAC 12 Plays
Parity is not a word that anyone will be associating with the inaugural season of the PAC 12.

Coming into week nine, the Stanford Cardinal (7-0, 5-0) have yet to lose a game, or even trail in a game, all year. At the other end of the spectrum sit the lowly Colorado Buffaloes (1-7, 04), whose single win came against Colorado State clear back on September 17.

But disparity offers college football bettors some real opportunities now that conference play is under way.

If you’re thinking about taking some action on the PAC 12 this weekend, here’s three solid picks that can put you ahead of the handicappers.

Arizona (2-5, 1-4) @ #25 Washington (5-2, 3-1)
Odds: Washington -6, 70u.
Last week, the Huskies were manhandled by #6 Stanford (7-0, 5-0) 65-21 in Palo Alto. Just a couple days prior to that, the Wildcats beat UCLA (3-4, 2-2) 48-12 for their first win since week one. But it’s unlikely that either game was indicative of how these two teams really play week-to-week.

Andrew Luck and the Stanford team are playing incredibly well this year, and that’s about the only kind of team that can stop Washington quarterback Keith Price. Price has completed 141-206 for 1713 yards and 22 touchdowns. For comparison, Luck is 145-202 for 1888 yards and 20 touchdowns.

Last Thursday the Wildcats played an emotional game, against a not-so-great Bruin squad.

The fact that Washington is only a six point favorite is a sign that the betting public is jumping on the Arizona bandwagon and sports handicappers know it.

But Price and company haven’t lost back to back games, or at home, all season and they’re not likely to break that trend this weekend.

Pick: Washington 35-14

#6 Stanford vs. USC –
Odds: Stanford -8, 60u
When the USC Trojans (6-1, 301) face the Stanford Cardinal at the Los Angeles Coliseum on Saturday, they’ll be facing some long odds.

Despite their impressive record, they’ve stumbled through this season without too many challenges. If you take away their loss to Arizona State, the combined record of all the teams they’ve beat this year is 19-23. ASU (5-2, 3-1) wasn’t ranked when they knocked off the Trojans, but they’re sitting at #21 now.

On the other hand, the Cardinal have demolished everyone they’ve faced and 7-0 ATS. Stanford breezed through their first real test of the season when beat up on Washington in Palo Alto last week.

Andrew Luck is having a season for the ages and is one of the very few college quarterbacks who calls his own plays on a regular basis. But Stanford is stacked on both sides of the ball. Their defense is only giving up around 12.5 points a game. For comparison, the Trojans are giving up closer to 22 points a game.

College football oddsmakers are being very generous on this one, but it seems very unlikely that the Trojans are going to pass this test against the Cardinal. Football bettors who stick with Stanford will wind up with winning tickets.

Pick: Stanford 43-20

Washington State vs. #7 Oregon
Odds: Oregon -36.5, 69u
The #7 Oregon Ducks (6-1, 4-0) and Washington State Cougars (3-4, 1-3) face off in Autzen Stadium on Saturday in a game that may be closer than college football oddsmakers may think.

In fact, if you’re looking for an overlooked college football betting match-up for week 9, this may be the one.

The Ducks are making waves this year as one of the fastest scoring offensive units in college football. Last week they put up 29 points in the first quarter against the University of Colorado. If not for their stunning loss to #1 LSU in week 1, the Ducks would be a contender for the national championship.

And while OU is basking in the spotlight, Washington State has been quietly improving. Even though they’ve only won 5 of their last 19 games, their record doesn’t tell the full story. They pulled a come from behind 31-27 victory against the Colorado Buffaloes, and only lost to Cal (4-3, 1-3) by three points. But the big tell is their 44-14 loss to Stanford.

Las Vegas sports books had the Cougars as only a 20 point underdog in that game, which is pretty small for Stanford. Bettors should also note that those 44 points are second lowest total the Cardinal have scored all year.

There’s no doubt that Oregon is going to win this one, but they’re not going to win by 37 points. Look for the Ducks to pull ahead early and rest their starters for the bigger conference prizes down the road.

Take the points on this play and look for Oregon to only win by about thirty.

Pick: Oregon 48-17

For more information: Every week seasoned sports betting veterans Joe Duffy, Roxy Roxborough, Bob Martin and Pete Axthelm share their years betting knowledge, along with stats, point spreads and more at http://www.bettorsadvice.com/.

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